Who will Trump name during the State of the Union address?
Tue, Feb 24, 2026
12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume
$35,273
across 37 markets
Liquidity
$17,906
Status
Active
Keyword Markets
37 marketsKeyword
The word or phrase being counted in the transcript. Markets resolve based on how many times it's mentioned.
Historical
Past occurrence data from official transcripts.6M free. Unlock 12M, 36M & Adapted with Pro.
EWMA: Recent events weighted higher (λ=0.85)
Price & Best Pick
Current market prices. The highlighted side shows the better expected value based on historical data. Click to toggle.
based on last 6 months
EV
Expected Value = Historical probability / Current price.Values above 1.0x indicate potential edge. Higher is better.
Historical
Witkoff
$11,023 volNo history
Monroe
$8,004 volNo history
Reagan
$7,190 volNo history
Beckstrom
$3,548 vol83% hit rate
Charlie Kirk
$969 vol83% hit rate
34 more markets locked
Unlock all markets with full historical data
EV Analysis
Expected value based on history
Data period:
0
>1.2x EV
0
~1x EV
0
<1x EV
Unlock Pro to see detailed EV analysis
7 of 10 founding spots left
MMD Pro
Data edge for mention market traders
AnnualMonthly
$99/mo
Billed annually ($1188/year)
Save 34% ($600/year)
What you get
- ✓Full historical data
36+ months of keyword mention counts
- ✓EV analysis
Expected value calculations on every market
- ✓Speech vs Q&A breakdown
See if mentions were scripted or under pressure
- ✓All event types
FOMC, earnings calls, podcasts, political speeches
- ✓Real-time alerts
Get notified when +EV opportunities appear
Limited access by design. Price increases at 10, 25, 50, and 100 subscribers. We keep subscriber count low so our data stays valuable — if everyone has it, no one has an edge.
Resolution Rules
- ✓Verbal mentions only (audio/video)
- ✓Plurals and possessives count
- ✗Written statements excluded
- ✗AI-generated content excluded