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What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?

speechLive Now
polymarket
Tue, Feb 24, 2026
12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume
$39,649
across 15 markets
Liquidity
$34,048
Status
Active

Keyword Markets

15 markets
Historical
Crypto
$14,609 vol
1.49x
0% hit rate
American 25+ times
$5,033 vol
1.15x
100% hit rate
Artificial Intelligence 2+ times
$2,802 vol
4.55x
0% hit rate
Job 20+ times
$2,698 vol
2.27x
83% hit rate
Biden 10+ times
$2,587 vol
1.67x
83% hit rate

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Historical Mentions
"Crypto"
0
Avg mentions
5
Past events

Pro Data

Full historical data for "Crypto" requires Pro

Active Markets for Crypto
1+ times
Yes price36¢
Hist. rate0%
Mentions
Average
Analyzed Historical Data
5 events analyzed

Full transcripts analyzed for keyword frequency patterns

Trump Joint Address to Congress 2025Joint Address to Congress
Tue, Mar 4, 2025
Duration:100 minWords:8,500Source:C-SPAN/White House Archives
First major address of Trump's second term. Longest such address in history at 1 hour 40 minutes.
Trump State of the Union 2020State of the Union
Tue, Feb 4, 2020
Duration:78 minWords:6,500Source:C-SPAN/White House Archives
Third and final State of the Union of Trump's first term. Delivered during impeachment proceedings.
Trump State of the Union 2019State of the Union
Tue, Feb 5, 2019
Duration:82 minWords:5,900Source:C-SPAN/White House Archives
Second official State of the Union address. Delayed due to government shutdown.
Trump State of the Union 2018State of the Union
Tue, Jan 30, 2018
Duration:80 minWords:5,900Source:C-SPAN/White House Archives
First official State of the Union address of Trump's presidency.
Trump Address to Joint Session 2017Joint Address to Congress
Tue, Feb 28, 2017
Duration:60 minWords:5,600Source:C-SPAN/White House Archives
First major address of Trump's first term. Not officially a SOTU as it was his first year in office.
EV Analysis

Expected value based on history

Data period:
Best Opportunity
Border 7+ times
2.22x
Expected Value
5
>1.2x EV
3
~1x EV
0
<1x EV

5 markets show positive expected value based on historical patterns. 3 high-confidence.

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Resolution Rules
  • ✓Verbal mentions only (audio/video)
  • ✓Plurals and possessives count
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