What will Powell say during January Press Conference?
Wed, Jan 28, 2026
07:30 PM UTC
Total Volume
$936,921
across 17 markets
Liquidity
$1,414,555
Status
Closed
Keyword Markets
17 marketsKeyword
The word or phrase being counted in the transcript. Markets resolve based on how many times it's mentioned.
Historical
Past occurrence data from official transcripts.6M free. Unlock 12M, 36M & Adapted with Pro.
EWMA: Recent events weighted higher (λ=0.85)
Price & Best Pick
Current market prices. The highlighted side shows the better expected value based on historical data. Click to toggle.
based on last 6 months
EV
Expected Value = Historical probability / Current price.Values above 1.0x indicate potential edge. Higher is better.
Historical
Good afternoonyes
$384,257 vol100% hit rate
Resolved: yes
Inflation 40+ timesno
$153,221 vol83% hit rate
Resolved: no
Trumpno
$75,233 vol17% hit rate
Resolved: no
Medianno
$56,553 vol83% hit rate
Resolved: no
Inflation 60+ timesno
$43,045 vol83% hit rate
Resolved: no
14 more markets locked
Unlock all markets with full historical data
Historical Mentions
"Inflation"
58
Avg mentions
12
Past events
Where does Powell mention "Inflation"?696 total
Prepared Speech24%
Q&A76%
Active Markets for Inflation
40+ times
Yes price0¢
Hist. rate92%
+92% edge
50+ times
Yes price0¢
Hist. rate67%
+67% edge
60+ times
Yes price0¢
Hist. rate33%
+33% edge
Mentions
Average
Analyzed Historical Data
12 events analyzedFull transcripts analyzed for keyword frequency patterns
FOMC Press Conference - December 2025
Wed, Dec 10, 2025
FOMC Press Conference - October 2025
Wed, Oct 29, 2025
FOMC Press Conference - September 2025
Wed, Sep 17, 2025
FOMC Press Conference - July 2025
Wed, Jul 30, 2025
FOMC Press Conference - June 2025
Wed, Jun 18, 2025
FOMC Press Conference - May 2025
Wed, May 7, 2025
FOMC Press Conference - March 2025
Wed, Mar 19, 2025
FOMC Press Conference - January 2025
Wed, Jan 29, 2025
FOMC Press Conference - December 2024
Wed, Dec 18, 2024
FOMC Press Conference - November 2024
Thu, Nov 7, 2024
FOMC Press Conference - September 2024
Wed, Sep 18, 2024
FOMC Press Conference - July 2024
Wed, Jul 31, 2024
EV Analysis
Expected value based on history
Data period:
0
>1.2x EV
2
~1x EV
14
<1x EV
Unlock Pro to see detailed EV analysis
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Resolution Rules
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- ✓Plurals and possessives count
- ✗Written statements excluded
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