What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (January 25)
Sun, Jan 25, 2026
12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume
$187,835
across 18 markets
Liquidity
$4,255
Status
Closed
Keyword Markets
18 marketsKeyword
The word or phrase being counted in the transcript. Markets resolve based on how many times it's mentioned.
Historical
Past occurrence data from official transcripts.6M free. Unlock 12M, 36M & Adapted with Pro.
EWMA: Recent events weighted higher (λ=0.85)
Price & Best Pick
Current market prices. The highlighted side shows the better expected value based on historical data. Click to toggle.
based on last 6 months
EV
Expected Value = Historical probability / Current price.Values above 1.0x indicate potential edge. Higher is better.
Historical
Greenlandno
$30,238 volNo history
Resolved: no
UFOno
$23,738 volNo history
Resolved: no
be said 10yes
$21,475 volNo history
Resolved: yes
Trumpno
$16,687 vol83% hit rate
Resolved: no
AIno
$15,373 vol83% hit rate
Resolved: no
15 more markets locked
Unlock all markets with full historical data
EV Analysis
Expected value based on history
Data period:
0
>1.2x EV
0
~1x EV
0
<1x EV
Unlock Pro to see detailed EV analysis
7 of 10 founding spots left
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What you get
- ✓Full historical data
36+ months of keyword mention counts
- ✓EV analysis
Expected value calculations on every market
- ✓Speech vs Q&A breakdown
See if mentions were scripted or under pressure
- ✓All event types
FOMC, earnings calls, podcasts, political speeches
- ✓Real-time alerts
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Resolution Rules
- ✓Verbal mentions only (audio/video)
- ✓Plurals and possessives count
- ✗Written statements excluded
- ✗AI-generated content excluded